A rate rise squeezes the payment and borrowing room; the price effect is not clear
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A rate rise squeezes the payment and borrowing room; the price effect is not clear
Diagram: dashed arrows are links the data do not prove
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Source: Loan payments for a S$1,000,000 loan over 30 years; TDSR from MAS; price figures from the URA Property Price Index.
View the data as a table
| Step | Detail | Leads to |
|---|---|---|
| Benchmark rate rises | SORA up 3.6 points,. 2021 Q4 to 2023 Q4 | Loan payment rises |
| Loan payment rises | S$1m, 30 years: S$3,216. at 1%, S$4,774 at 4% | Borrowing room shrinks |
| Borrowing room shrinks | TDSR: 55% of income,. tested at 4% or more | Fewer buyers may qualify |
| Fewer buyers may qualify | Demand may soften | Effect on prices |
| Effect on prices | Not clear in the data | What happened 2021 to 2023 |
| What happened 2021 to 2023 | Index up 16.1%; growth. slowed, then policy tightened |
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