A rate rise squeezes the payment and borrowing room; the price effect is not clear

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A rate rise squeezes the payment and borrowing room; the price effect is not clear

Diagram: dashed arrows are links the data do not prove

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A rate rise squeezes the payment and borrowing room; the price effect is not clearDiagram: dashed arrows are links the data do not proveBenchmark rate rises. SORA up 3.6 points,. 2021 Q4 to 2023 Q4Benchmark rate risesSORA up 3.6 points,2021 Q4 to 2023 Q4Loan payment rises. S$1m, 30 years: S$3,216. at 1%, S$4,774 at 4%Loan payment risesS$1m, 30 years: S$3,216at 1%, S$4,774 at 4%Borrowing room shrinks. TDSR: 55% of income,. tested at 4% or moreBorrowing room shrinksTDSR: 55% of income,tested at 4% or moreFewer buyers may qualify. Demand may softenFewer buyers may qualifyDemand may softenEffect on prices. Not clear in the dataEffect on pricesNot clear in the dataWhat happened 2021 to 2023. Index up 16.1%; growth. slowed, then policy tightenedWhat happened 2021 to 2023Index up 16.1%; growthslowed, then policy tightenedRates and policy moved together (Dec 2021, Sep 2022, Apr 2023), so I cannot separate them.

Source: Loan payments for a S$1,000,000 loan over 30 years; TDSR from MAS; price figures from the URA Property Price Index.

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A rate rise squeezes the payment and borrowing room; the price effect is not clear
StepDetailLeads to
Benchmark rate risesSORA up 3.6 points,. 2021 Q4 to 2023 Q4Loan payment rises
Loan payment risesS$1m, 30 years: S$3,216. at 1%, S$4,774 at 4%Borrowing room shrinks
Borrowing room shrinksTDSR: 55% of income,. tested at 4% or moreFewer buyers may qualify
Fewer buyers may qualifyDemand may softenEffect on prices
Effect on pricesNot clear in the dataWhat happened 2021 to 2023
What happened 2021 to 2023Index up 16.1%; growth. slowed, then policy tightened
Topic
How interest rates and yields affect property prices
Segment
The overall market
Chart type
Flowchart
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How interest rates and yields affect property prices

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