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Understanding the property market cycle

FreeFlowchart

What history favoured in each phase

FreeFlowchart

What history favoured in each phase

Find the phase the model shows, then read the action that worked best in the past

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What history favoured in each phaseFind the phase the model shows, then read the action that worked best in the pastWhich phase does. the model show?Which phase doesthe model show?Early Bull. Buy. avg +35.7%. over 10.2 quartersEarly BullBuyavg +35.7%over 10.2 quartersLate Bull. Short term: sell?. Long term: hold. avg +6.2%. over 4.8 quartersLate BullShort term: sell?Long term: holdavg +6.2%over 4.8 quartersEarly Bear. Sell. avg -16.9%. over 6.4 quartersEarly BearSellavg -16.9%over 6.4 quartersLate Bear. Hold; may buy if you. accept the risk. avg -4.3%. over 3.0 quartersLate BearHold; may buy if youaccept the riskavg -4.3%over 3.0 quartersDashed arrows show the order of the phases. After a Late Bear the cycle starts again at Early Bull.Past actions, not advice. Averages cover the completed phases since 1996. The current phase is for members.

Source: PropInsights cycle model phases, completed runs from 1996 Q3. Averages from the completed phases of the cycle model. Past actions, not advice.

View the data as a table
What history favoured in each phase
StepDetailLeads to
Which phase doesthe model show?Early Bull; Late Bull; Early Bear; Late Bear
Early BullBuy. avg +35.7%. over 10.2 quartersLate Bull
Late BullShort term: sell?. Long term: hold. avg +6.2%. over 4.8 quartersEarly Bear
Early BearSell. avg -16.9%. over 6.4 quartersLate Bear
Late BearHold; may buy if you. accept the risk. avg -4.3%. over 3.0 quarters
Topic
Understanding the property market cycle
Segment
The overall market
Chart type
Flowchart
Access
FreeCSV download is for members.

Understanding the property market cycle

More charts in this topic

Previous chartEvery completed phase since 1996: Early Bulls ran longest and gained most